[Updated as of 2 Feb 2023]
There have been materials circulated online that misunderstood the difference between the Government’s cash receipts and revenue, leading to incorrect conclusions about our fiscal position and the need to raise GST.
For example, a March 2020 social media post queried the need to raise GST, alleging that the Government had more money at its disposal than what it had said, based on data from the Department of Statistics (DOS).
Distinction between cash receipts and revenue available for spending
The cited cash surpluses were taken from DOS, but wrong conclusions were made on budget deficits, surpluses, and the Government’s overall fiscal position. Under our budgeting rules, there is a distinction between (a) cash receipts and (b) revenue that is available for spending. Cash receipts reflect all the cash that comes in, but not all the cash that comes in constitutes revenue for expenditure.
Our budgeting rules reflect policy choices that the Government has made to safeguard the long-term interests of our citizens and future generations. These rules are enshrined in Singapore’s Constitution, to require each term of Government to accumulate sufficient revenue to fund its expenditure.
Cash receipts1 that are not considered revenue available for direct Government spending are instead channelled to our Past Reserves and invested. It is misleading to point to such cash receipts to claim that the Government has more revenue than it presents in the Budget Statement.
Monies from the sale of state land are not part of revenue available for Government spending
The largest of such cash receipts is the monies from the sale of state land. Land is a scarce and finite asset in Singapore and forms part of our reserves. Selling land does not increase revenue. Instead, land sales convert physical assets into financial assets. The Government then invests these financial assets to generate a sustainable stream of investment returns over the long term2, or use it for other land-related expenditure.
For example, if a family sells a house and uses the proceeds for day-to-day expenditure, it will soon have nothing left. However, if the family invests the proceeds of the sale wisely, it will still have the original sale proceeds, plus a constant stream of income from those proceeds. This income can then be used partially for expenditure and partially reinvested to help sustain both present and future members of the family.
We take the same sustainable approach to land sales. Land sales proceeds are not part of our revenue that can be directly used for expenditure. Instead they are invested, and we use part of the investment returns to support the spending needs of Singaporeans.
Net Investment Returns Contribution (NIRC)
In fact, the contributions from investment returns (known as the Net Investment Returns Contribution) has already become the largest single source of Government revenue, higher than the amount of GST, Personal Income Tax, or Corporate Income Tax collected in each year since 2018.
This big contribution from investment returns supports about one-fifth of our spending needs. This is only possible because we have been disciplined in building and protecting both our land and financial reserves.
1 For clarity, references to cash receipts hereafter refer to cash receipts as used by DOS in the computation of the cash surplus.
2 Monies from land sales form part of our Past Reserves. The investment returns of our reserves supplement the annual Budget through the Net Investment Returns Contribution (NIRC). Up to 50% of the Net Investment Returns on the net assets invested by GIC, MAS and Temasek, and up to 50% of the Net Investment Income derived from Past Reserves from the remaining assets is reflected in the Budget Statement as NIRC.
3 There are key differences between the Government “Cash Surplus/Deficit” published in line with IMF’s Government Financial Statistics Manual and our fiscal presentation in the Budget Statement. For example, “Cash Surplus/Deficit”:
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